An excerpt from the original text.(complete · 1103 words)
he life of the nations is not contained in the lives of a few men, for
the connection between those men and the nations has not been found.
The theory that this connection is based on the transference of the
collective will of a people to certain historical personages is an
hypothesis unconfirmed by the experience of history.
The theory of the transference of the collective will of the people to
historic persons may perhaps explain much in the domain of jurisprudence
and be essential for its purposes, but in its application to history, as
soon as revolutions, conquests, or civil wars occur—that is, as soon as
history begins—that theory explains nothing.
The theory seems irrefutable just because the act of transference of the
people’s will cannot be verified, for it never occurred.
Whatever happens and whoever may stand at the head of affairs, the
theory can always say that such and such a person took the lead because
the collective will was transferred to him.
The replies this theory gives to historical questions are like the
replies of a man who, watching the movements of a herd of cattle and
paying no attention to the varying quality of the pasturage in different
parts of the field, or to the driving of the herdsman, should attribute
the direction the herd takes to what animal happens to be at its head.
“The herd goes in that direction because the animal in front leads
it and the collective will of all the other animals is vested in that
leader.” This is what historians of the first class say—those who assume
the unconditional transference of the people’s will.
“If the animals leading the herd change, this happens because the
collective will of all the animals is transferred from one leader to
another, according to whether the animal is or is not leading them in
the direction selected by the whole herd.” Such is the reply historians
who assume that the collective will of the people is delegated to
rulers under conditions which they regard as known. (With this method
of observation it often happens that the observer, influenced by the
direction he himself prefers, regards those as leaders who, owing to the
people’s change of direction, are no longer in front, but on one side,
or even in the rear.)
“If the animals in front are continually changing and the direction of
the whole herd is constantly altered, this is because in order to follow
a given direction the animals transfer their will to the animals that
have attracted our attention, and to study the movements of the herd
we must watch the movements of all the prominent animals moving on all
sides of the herd.” So say the third class of historians who regard all
historical persons, from monarchs to journalists, as the expression of
their age.
The theory of the transference of the will of the people to historic
persons is merely a paraphrase—a restatement of the question in other
words.
What causes historical events? Power. What is power? Power is the
collective will of the people transferred to one person. Under what
condition is the will of the people delegated to one person? On
condition that that person expresses the will of the whole people. That
is, power is power: in other words, power is a word the meaning of which
we do not understand.
If the realm of human knowledge were confined to abstract reasoning,
then having subjected to criticism the explanation of “power” that
juridical science gives us, humanity would conclude that power is merely
a word and has no real existence. But to understand phenomena man
has, besides abstract reasoning, experience by which he verifies his
reflections. And experience tells us that power is not merely a word but
an actually existing phenomenon.
Not to speak of the fact that no description of the collective activity
of men can do without the conception of power, the existence of power is
proved both by history and by observing contemporary events.
Whenever an event occurs a man appears or men appear, by whose will the
event seems to have taken place. Napoleon III issues a decree and the
French go to Mexico. The King of Prussia and Bismarck issue decrees and
an army enters Bohemia. Napoleon I issues a decree and an army enters
Russia. Alexander I gives a command and the French submit to the
Bourbons. Experience shows us that whatever event occurs it is always
related to the will of one or of several men who have decreed it.
The historians, in accord with the old habit of acknowledging divine
intervention in human affairs, want to see the cause of events in
the expression of the will of someone endowed with power, but that
supposition is not confirmed either by reason or by experience.
On the one side reflection shows that the expression of a man’s will—his
words—are only part of the general activity expressed in an event,
as for instance in a war or a revolution, and so without assuming an
incomprehensible, supernatural force—a miracle—one cannot admit that
words can be the immediate cause of the movements of millions of men.
On the other hand, even if we admitted that words could be the cause
of events, history shows that the expression of the will of historical
personages does not in most cases produce any effect, that is to say,
their commands are often not executed, and sometimes the very opposite
of what they order occurs.
Without admitting divine intervention in the affairs of humanity we
cannot regard “power” as the cause of events.
Power, from the standpoint of experience, is merely the relation that
exists between the expression of someone’s will and the execution of
that will by others.
To explain the conditions of that relationship we must first establish a
conception of the expression of will, referring it to man and not to the
Deity.
If the Deity issues a command, expresses His will, as ancient history
tells us, the expression of that will is independent of time and is not
caused by anything, for the Divinity is not controlled by an event. But
speaking of commands that are the expression of the will of men acting
in time and in relation to one another, to explain the connection of
commands with events we must restore: (1) the condition of all that
takes place: the continuity of movement in time both of the events and
of the person who commands, and (2) the inevitability of the connection
between the person commanding and those who execute his command.
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Let's Analyse the Pattern
The tendency to attribute complex changes to visible individuals rather than understanding the deeper forces that actually drive events.
Why This Matters
Connect literature to life
This chapter teaches you to distinguish between visible authority and actual influence by examining who really makes things happen.
Practice This Today
This week, notice when someone gets credit for group efforts—ask yourself what forces were already in motion before they appeared.
Now let's explore the literary elements.
Key Quotes & Analysis
"The theory of the transference of the collective will of the people to historic persons may perhaps explain much in the domain of jurisprudence and be essential for its purposes, but in its application to history, as soon as revolutions, conquests, or civil wars occur—that is, as soon as history begins—that theory explains nothing."
Context: Tolstoy is explaining why the common theory of leadership fails when applied to real historical events
This quote cuts to the heart of Tolstoy's argument - that our legal and political theories about how power works break down completely when we try to use them to understand actual historical change. The moment real conflict begins, these neat theories become useless.
In Today's Words:
Sure, we can pretend people vote their power away to politicians, but when things actually go sideways, that explanation doesn't help us understand what's really happening.
"The replies this theory gives to historical questions are like the replies of a man who, watching the movements of a herd of cattle and paying no attention to the varying quality of the pasturage in different parts of the field, or to the driving of the herdsman, should attribute the direction the herd takes to what animal happens to be at its head."
Context: Tolstoy uses this analogy to show how historians wrongly focus on leaders while ignoring the real forces driving events
This powerful analogy reveals how we mistake correlation for causation. The cow at the front isn't leading - it's just walking in the direction the whole herd is already moving based on where the grass is good or where they're being driven.
In Today's Words:
Saying the president caused economic growth is like saying the car in front is causing traffic to move - you're ignoring all the actual reasons people are going that direction.
"Whatever happens and whoever may stand at the head of affairs, the theory can always say that such and such a person took the lead because the collective will was transferred to him."
Context: Tolstoy is pointing out the unfalsifiable nature of traditional theories of leadership
This exposes how convenient but meaningless these explanations are. No matter what happens, we can always say 'well, people must have wanted this leader' after the fact. It's like saying everything happens for a reason - it sounds wise but explains nothing.
In Today's Words:
It's like saying 'everything happens for a reason' - you can use it to explain anything, which means it actually explains nothing.
Thematic Threads
Power
In This Chapter
Tolstoy reveals that apparent power is often an illusion—leaders seem to control events but are actually carried along by forces beyond their influence
Development
Deepens the book's ongoing examination of how social hierarchies mask the real sources of change and influence
In Your Life:
You might recognize this when blaming your boss for decisions that actually come from higher up, or assuming someone has more control over a situation than they really do
Truth
In This Chapter
Historical narratives that credit individual leaders with causing major events are revealed as comforting fictions that obscure complex realities
Development
Continues the theme of questioning accepted explanations and looking beneath surface appearances
In Your Life:
You see this when family stories about 'who decided' something don't match the messy reality of how decisions actually evolved
Social Expectations
In This Chapter
Society expects clear leadership and simple explanations, creating pressure to identify figureheads even when collective forces are actually at work
Development
Expands on how social structures shape our understanding of events and relationships
In Your Life:
You experience this pressure when people expect you to 'take charge' of situations that are actually beyond any individual's control
Human Relationships
In This Chapter
The relationship between leaders and followers is shown to be far more complex than simple command and obedience
Development
Builds on the book's exploration of how people actually influence each other in families and communities
In Your Life:
You might notice this in how family dynamics work—the 'head of household' often has less real influence than quieter family members
You now have the context. Time to form your own thoughts.
Discussion Questions
- 1
According to Tolstoy, why is it wrong to say that Napoleon caused the major events of history?
analysis • surface - 2
How does the cattle herd analogy explain the difference between appearing to lead and actually leading?
analysis • medium - 3
Think about a recent change at your workplace or in your family. Who got credit for making it happen, and what forces were really driving that change?
application • medium - 4
When you're facing a problem with someone in authority, how might understanding the difference between visible power and real power change your approach?
application • deep - 5
Why do humans prefer to believe that individual leaders control major events rather than accepting that complex forces shape our world?
reflection • deep
Critical Thinking Exercise
Map the Real Power Structure
Think of a recent decision that affected your life - a policy change at work, a family rule, or a community issue. Draw two diagrams: one showing who appears to be in charge, and another showing the real forces and pressures that drove the decision. Include things like budget constraints, unspoken expectations, outside pressures, or timing factors.
Consider:
- •Look beyond the person who announced the decision to the circumstances that made it inevitable
- •Consider what would have happened if that visible leader had said no or wasn't there
- •Think about who benefits from the current power structure and who has incentive to maintain the myth
Journaling Prompt
Write about a time when you were blamed or credited for something that was really driven by forces beyond your control. How did it feel to be seen as more powerful than you actually were?
Coming Up Next...
Chapter 359: The Cone of Command
Having dismantled the myth of great man leadership, Tolstoy will now explore what actually does drive historical events—and why understanding these hidden forces matters for how we live our own lives.




